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从发射保险费看马斯克吹牛的套路

马斯克大吹: 因为太空叉的火箭发射可靠性提高了, 所以发射保险费大幅下降了;但保险公司说, 其实保险的费率是一样的, 只是太空叉被保的价值下降了。太空叉自己标价62 米, 而太空叉的对手标价 165 米, 保险费率都是 4%, 但要是太空叉发射失败, 赔 62 米, 太空叉的对手会获赔 165 米, 那当然太空叉的对手得交更多的保费。

太空叉共发射 81 次, 失败 2 两次。 中国航天发射成功率也在 90% 以上了。

还有, “火箭回收重复使用” 的就两块:Competitors, such as the Boeing and Lockheed Martin-owned joint venture ULA,have remained skeptical of the efficacy of reusing rockets – especiallysince SpaceX and its financials remain private, even as its valuation hassoared. But Musk has often pointed to reusing rockets as key to saving thecompany money.

SpaceX has been able to recover two major pieces of its rockets: The large“first stage” boosters and the rocket’s nosecone (also known as its “fairing”). The boosters, which SpaceX has often landed, make up about 60%of the total cost of the rocket, or about $37 million. SpaceX has also beenable to recover the fairings – which make up about 10% of the total cost,or about $6 million – by either fishing them out of the ocean or catchingthem in large nets strung up behind boats.

能重复使用的就这两块, 总计 43 米, 但是回收的费用到底是多少? 只有马斯克自己心里清楚了。比如你的车被火烧了, 原则上这车身还可用, 但这车身还值得再用吗?

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