引述消息人士的话说，中共中央正在考虑将每5年一次的党代表大会推迟几个月召开，中共内部正对中央决策机构的组成及规模大小进行辩论，与此同时决定以后10年党的最高领导人的党内权力斗争也进入最后阶段。
目前来看，下届国家主席和总理这两个最高职务已经疑问不多。不过无论以何种理由推迟中共十八大都可能引发更多关于党内斗争的猜测，中共中央政治局常务委员会的其他职务成为党内争斗的焦点。
中共中央政治局常委的构成还会影响到未来新国家主席习近平的领导能力，决定他如何能够在其他常委中取得共识，管理中国这个世界第二大经济体以及军事大国。
十八大推迟也可能进一步为全球金融市场带来不确定因素，因为中国在全球市场作为一架运行顺畅机器的形象，已经因为今年发生的薄熙来事件而大打折扣。
据中共党内3个消息来源的说法，预定于今年9月或10月召开的中共十八大可能被推迟到11月或明年1月召开。过去的5次党代表大会中，有2次被推迟召开。
了解中共内部讨论的消息人士说，推迟党代表大会的主要目的是缩短接班人的过渡期，因为党代表大会宣布新领导人后，新领导人要在2013年3月才开始行使新的管理国家职能。
一位消息人士说，推迟党的代表大会还给高层留出更多时间来讨论政治局常委会的构成。目前的国家主席胡锦涛的政治盟友希望将政治局常委缩小到7个职位，这样他们能够在常委中占有大多数；但其他人希望将常委会扩大到11人，这样能够容纳更多的对立派系。
另外一位消息人士说，中共十八大的准备工作尚未完成，党内高层正考虑将十八大推迟到冬天。
中国的政治学者刘军宁说，推迟十八大表明，曾经有望晋升常委的薄熙来被清洗令中共需要更多时间来处理党内激化的政治矛盾。他说，如果党代表大会被推迟，那就是要决定如何处理薄熙来的政治遗产。
刘军宁说，这就像是因为做饭被突然打断，吃饭时间被推迟，党内需要处理其他的问题，就像做饭过程又开始一样。
关于中共十八大被推迟的说法，中国国务院新闻办以及中共的发言人办公室都拒绝发表评论。Exclusive: China considers delay of key party congress: sources
Credit: Reuters/Jason Lee/Files
By Benjamin Kang Lim and Nick Edwards
BEIJING | Tue May 8, 2012 2:20pm EDT
BEIJING (Reuters) - China's ruling Communist Party is seriously considering a delay in its upcoming five-yearly congress by a few months amid internal debate over the size and makeup of its top decision-making body, sources said, as the party struggles to finalize a once-in-a-decade leadership change.
The two most senior posts, of president and premier, are not considered in much doubt. But any delay in the congress, no matter the official reason, would likely fuel speculation of infighting over the remaining seats in the nine-member politburo standing committee which calls the shots in China.
The makeup of those remaining positions could in turn influence the ability of the incoming new president, Xi Jinping, to forge a consensus among those immediately below him on how to run the world's second-largest economy and a military superpower.
Delay could also further unnerve global financial markets whose perception of Chinese politics as a well-oiled machine has already been shaken this year by the extraordinary downfall of an ambitious senior leader, Bo Xilai, in a murder scandal.
The top party leaders are considering a proposal to move the 18th congress, originally scheduled for September or October, to between November and January, three sources said, in a step that has been taken twice before in the past five congresses.
The delay would primarily aim to shorten the transition for the new leaders, who will be announced at the congress but are not due to start in their new state roles until March 2013, said the sources, who all have knowledge of the party's deliberations.
One source said a delay would also give time for debate over the size of the standing committee, with current President Hu Jintao's allies wanting it cut to seven, of which they would likely hold a majority, and others wanting it expanded to 11 to accommodate rival factions.
"Preparations for the 18th congress have not been completed. (The party) is considering putting off the 18th congress until winter," another of the sources said.
Chinese political scientist Liu Junning said a delay would signal that the downfall of Bo, once seen as a strong candidate for the standing committee, had forced the party to take time out to deal with the political fallout.
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